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Senator Cathy Giessel Newsletter

UPDATES



Issues affecting

your family, community and jobs.

November 30, 2023

 

Dear Friends and Neighbors,



This week I've included, in full, the Legislative Finance Division newsletter.

 

Clarification: The Legislature has the Legislative Finance Division (LFD) that does modeling for us, prepared the annual budget, and is a reference for both House and Senate on fiscal matters.

 

The Executive Branch has the Office of Management & Budget (OMB). This office prepares the budget that the Governor offers to the Legislature.

 

LFD & OMB are separate entities, both with focus on the budget but from different sides of the topic: Executive branch and Legislative branch.

 

Only the Legislature has the authority to appropriate money - Alaska Constitution, Article 9, section 13 "Expenditures". The Governor can only veto expenditures - Article 2, section 15. The Legislature can over-ride a veto with a 3/4 vote - Article 2, section 16.

 

LFD puts out newsletters periodically that are very informative. If you'd like to receive the LFD newsletter yourself, directly, use the link to sign up!

 

Fiscal Year 2025 Budget

The Governor is required to submit his budget proposal by Dec. 15 - Alaska Constitution Article 9, section 12.

 

Items in this Newsletter:

·     Legislative Finance Update - union contracts with State

·     Safer Seward Highway meetings

·     Respiratory Virus Update

·     Current Topics: Education, Economy, Minerals, Health Care, Politics

·     Resource Values, Permanent Fund

·     Alaska History

Fiscal News

An update from Legislative Finance

November 28, 2023

 

November 2023 Newsletter

If you'd like to unsubscribe, you can do so here. If this was forwarded to you, you can subscribe using the same link. 

 

This issue includes information about the legislature's role in collective bargaining and the status of the various contracts.

 

Alaska Featured in Pew Report on Sustainable Budgeting

The Pew Charitable Trust released a report entitled "Tools for Sustainable State Budgeting" that highlights Alaska as one of just eight states that have produced both long-term budget assessments and budget stress tests. It also discusses the work of the legislature's Fiscal Policy Working Group in 2021.

 

The Legislature's Role in Collective Bargaining

Most employees of the State of Alaska are covered by a collective bargaining agreement between a labor union and the State of Alaska. The Department of Administration's Division of Personnel and Labor Relations bargains on behalf of the State for most unions, while the University of Alaska negotiates on its own behalf for the unions representing its workers. 

 

There are 11 bargaining units in the executive branch that are collectively bargained by the Department of Administration, covering 14,856 employees as of the end of FY23. The University of Alaska currently collectively bargains with four units (a fifth unit, covering graduate student employees, was authorized by a vote in October of 2023). The remaining employees are partially or fully exempt from the collective bargaining process. 

 

AS 23.40.215(a) of the Public Employee Relations Act provides that "The monetary terms of any agreement entered into under AS 23.40.070 - 23.40.260 are subject to funding through legislative appropriation." Therefore, the legislature must approve the funding for any pay increase or other monetary term included in a collective bargaining agreement. Importantly, this does not only apply to the first year of an agreement; it applies to each year. In University of Alaska Classified Employees Association, APEA/AFT, AFL-CIO v. University of Alaska, the legislature did not appropriate funds specifically for the negotiated increases and the Alaska Supreme Court held that absent a specific vote, the terms were rejected. 

 

Monetary terms of contracts are due to the legislature within 10 days of the agreement, or no later than the 60th day of the legislative session, according to AS 23.40.215(b). Agreements do sometimes arrive after this deadline and are usually still approved, but the legislature has in the past refused to consider contracts that were submitted too late to act (without rejecting the contract). The approval of a contract is provided by appropriating funds specified in salary adjustment transactions for each contract. These salary adjustments for each contract are an all or nothing vote: either all salary adjustments must be accepted to approve the contract, or all must be denied to reject it. The legislature cannot alter the terms of a contract.

 

Current Status of Collective Bargaining Contracts

The eleven bargaining units who negotiate with the Department of Administration are on a three-year cycle. Currently, three bargaining units have contracts that end in FY24 and are negotiating new agreements for FY25. The table below summarizes the status, including the FY24 and FY25 cost of living (COLA) increases that each unit has negotiated. (SEE CHART BELOW)

 

The contracts for GGU, IBU, MEBA, and MMP include an increase for FY25 that is tied to inflation in Calendar Year 2022. The increase could range from zero to 5%, with the 5% increase effective if inflation exceeded 4%. Actual inflation in CY22 was 8.1%, so those units will receive the full 5% increase.



Exempt, Partially Exempt, and Non-Covered Employees

Legislative and Judicial employees, executive branch employees in politically appointed roles, attorneys, and employees of State-owned corporations are not included in any bargaining unit. These employees' salaries are set in several different ways. The Governor, legislators, and executive branch department heads are subject to an independent salary commission. Many legislative employees, exempt executive branch employees, and court system employees have a salary schedule set in statute. State-owned corporations have compensation set by their boards, but typically follow other exempt salary changes. Many University positions (primarily administrative positions) are also not unionized and receive adjustments from the Board of Regents that are generally in line with the negotiated increases for unionized employees of the University. 

 

Exempt employee salaries (other than for the University) are set out in AS 39.27.011(a) and were most recently increased by 5% in FY23 (roughly matching the cumulative effect of recent Supervisory Union cost of living adjustments of 3%, 1% and 1% in FY22-24). The legislation containing that increase, Ch. 50, SLA 22 (HB 226) also increased salaries for State attorneys by an additional 15% and provided a 10% increase for judicial employees. 

 

AS 39.27.011(m) indicates that the legislature shall increase the salary schedule for the partially exempt employees along with future increases for the supervisory unit. However, doing so will require subsequent legislation to modify the salary schedule set out in statute.

Additional Resources

Full text of the bargaining agreements negotiated by DOA are available on the Division of Personnel and Labor Relations' website. That site also has bargaining unit profiles with information about the makeup of each unit. 

 

Full text of the bargaining agreements negotiated by the University are available on their Labor and Relations website.

Alexei Painter

Legislative Fiscal Analyst

430 Main Street

Juneau, Alaska 99801

(907) 465-3795

http://www.legfin.akleg.gov

Click on image to read.

Current Topics

GUARDIAN - Office of Public Advocacy Fiasco ADN

OPA has since April declined to take on new guardianship cases, pointing to the same staff shortage that led them in 2022.

(My comment: This is tragic. Our own OPA is so short-staffed that they can't serve Alaskans. The Dept of Law identified, in the spring, that salaries and pension are missing and hampering hiring.)

 

The genomic secrets to how the muskox mastered living on the edge Phys

At the end of the last Ice Age, many iconic species became extinct—including the steppe bison, the wooly rhinoceros, the Irish elk, and the dire wolf. However, one Ice Age relict, perfectly adapted to the harsh climate of the tundra environment, has survived until the present day. Muskox escaped the destiny of its Ice Age compatriots and appears to be thriving in the world of today.

Education

Will Pension Incentive help fill bus driver shortage? South Carolina Daily Gazette

Their bill would exempt retirees who drive a school bus from state law that otherwise stops their pension payments for the year once their earnings from a new gig top $10,000. It is among legislation pre-filed for the session that resumes in January.

 

Minerals

Alaska’s pricey, fossil fuel-based power could thwart investment - Alaska Beacon

Steep electricity prices and heavy dependence on fossil fuels to generate power risk discouraging development of new mining projects in Alaska.

(My comment: We need less expensive electric rates, not just for mining but for everyone. That's why I'm focused on state-funded upgrade of our weak transmission system. That's how we get least expensive electricity dispatched around the state and from clean energy sources.

To expand on this, I read in Tim Bradner's Alaska Economic Report, that the US Air Force 5 MW microreactor at Eielson AFB is delayed. Contract was given to OKLO but UltraSafe Nuclear Corp has filed a protest. They were not chosen so they want investigation into the contract.)

 

Economy

The six-month test for savings Axios

The share of adults who say they can cover six months of expenses using their savings is considerably lower than it was last year, polling by Morning Consult shows. And the share that simply doesn't know how long their savings will carry them has grown, to about 21%, from 15.5% in July 2022.

 

The dollar's biggest monthly drop in a year. Axios

The dollar is down big this month, putting in its worst performance in a year. The decline in the greenback — as measured by the U.S. dollar index — is a reflection of growing certainty in financial markets that the Federal Reserve has basically vanquished inflation and will start to cut short-term rates in 2024.

 

LNG Import costs.

Tim Bradner reports, in Alaska Economic Report, that a detailed estimate of potential costs of LNG imports to southcentral won't be available until January or later. Chugach has commissioned the report, and ENSTAR is also putting together its own estimates. (You can subscribe to Tim's Alaska Economic Report at timbradner@pobox.alaska.net. He's got great coverage. He also publishes Bradners' Legislative Digest.)

 

Alaska October Unemployment at 4.3%. Alaska Business Magazine

Government job growth was led by the federal government with an increase of 600. State government was down by 100 jobs, while local government, which includes public schools, was up by 500.

 

Sizzling summer. Axios

The U.S. economy wasn't just hot last quarter — it was sizzling. The latest gross domestic product revision shows the economy grew at an annualized rate of 5.2%, versus the 4.9% preliminary estimate, the Commerce Department said. The economy will almost certainly clock in a slower growth rate for the current quarter — GDPNow, for instance, projects 2.1%. (My Comment: Alaska’s economy sure isn’t growing!)

 

Workers still have the upper hand  Axios

The share of prime-age workers (those 25-54) who are employed is hovering at a 22-year high. Meaning: There aren't many folks left out there who businesses can hire.

(My comment: In order to staff public services, wages and benefits will need to increase to draw a smaller pool of employees.)

 

 

Politics

Dunleavy Hires Craig Richards at $12,000/month. Dermot Cole blog

With no public announcement, the state hired Craig Richards, a trustee of the Alaska Permanent Fund, to serve as “statehood defense coordinator” under a no-bid seven-month contract that pays Richards $12,000 a month for part-time work.

 

 

Health Care

Measuring the Accuracy of PCR Tests Can Improve Health Care Beyond COVID-19 NIST

The development of the clinical COVID test is a triumph of molecular biology and applied genetics. The most common version of the test is based on a powerful, and widely used, lab technique called the polymerase chain reaction (PCR).

Alaska Oil Resource Values

 

Alaska North Slope crude oil price (11/29/23): $85.16

FY24 budget (beginning 7/1) is fully funded at forecast $73/barrel oil.

Price on 9/30/23: $87.99

Price on 9/30/22: $86.91

Price on 6/29/22: $116.84

Price on 3/8/22: $125.44

Price on 12/22/21: $75.55

ANS production (11/28/23): 477,613 bpd

 

CINGSA to Expand. Petroleum News

Cook Inlet Natural Gas Storage Alaska has filed a tariff advice letter with the Regulatory Commission of Alaska, requesting approval of an agreement with Enstar Natural Gas Co. that is associated with a planned expansion of the CINGSA facility.

 

More Gas Exploration. Petroleum News

Hilcorp Alaska is continuing natural gas exploration at its southern Kenai Peninsula Cottonfield and Whiskey Gulch prospects, with one well planned at each for early 2024.

 

 Charted: the oil industry's slow green pivot Axios

The chart shows that oil and gas industry "clean" energy investments have grown but remain a small slice of the sector's overall spending as of last year.

 

A double dose of oil drama Axios

The immediate and long-term future of oil will face intense scrutiny this week. The COP28 summit in the United Arab Emirates, which starts 11/30.

 

Coal generation decreased in 2022, but overall U.S. emissions increased EIA

 

Falling Petroleum Consumption Prompts Japanese Refinery Closures. EIA

 

Falling petroleum consumption prompts Japanese refinery closures. EIA

 

 

Precious Metal Prices

Nov. 29, 2023

Gold - $2042.60

Silver - $25.00

Platinum - $942.00

Palladium - $1051.00

 

Alaska Permanent Fund

website

 

Fund value November 28 - $76,827,900,000

PFD payout from ERA, Fiscal years 1980-2024: $29.7 Billion

Cost of PFD in Oct. 2022: $2.2 B

Cost of PFD Oct. 6, 2023: $881.5 Million



Alaska History

 

Nov. 30, 2018 - 7.0 magnitude earthquake in Anchorage and SE Alaska

 

Dec. 1, 1978 - President Carter locked up more Alaska land by proclaiming national monuments in Alaska.

 

Dec. 2, 1980 - President Carter signed ANILCA (Alaska National Interest Land Conservation Act) which promises "no more" Alaska land will be taken by the Federal Government

Feedback is always welcome.

Have a great week!

 

Cathy 

 

Personal Contact:

907.465.4843

sen.cathy.giessel@akleg.gov

 

My Staff:

·     Chief of Staff: Jane Conway (from Soldotna)

·     Office Manager: Paige Brown (from Anchorage/Girdwood)

·     Resources Committee Staff: Julia O'Connor (from Juneau)



Copyright © 2023. All Rights Reserved.

Senator Cathy Giessel's Newsletter | 12701 Ridgewood Rd, Anchorage, AK 99516