(Expensive) Eggs in One Basket

March 15, 2025

Dear Friends and Neighbors,

Sorry I missed sending last week's newsletter. I thought about making this one a double issue to make up for it, but you haven't done anything bad enough to deserve that.


Yesterday was Purim. The holiday celebrates surviving a king’s evil, too-powerful advisor who tried to crush those who wouldn’t bend the knee to him.


The Purim story ends with a revenge fantasy worthy of a Quentin Tarantino movie. Here in the Alaska Capitol, we don't have time for fantasy. There are real problems to solve. And real people's lives are on the line. That may sound as cliche as the titles in this week's newsletter, but it matters too much to lose sight of it.

Rep. Story and I presented citations Friday honoring Kim Larson and Kueni Ma'ake. They're both remarkable leaders and role models in child care. (Kueni's daughter accepted the citation for her due to a family emergency.)

Lily Stevens-Becker is president of the Ted Stevens Foundation. We first met when she was a teenager and I was a college intern for her father, U.S. Sen. Ted Stevens. We talked this week about the foundation's work, including the legislative internship program. Photo credit goes to Cole, the UA/Ted Stevens Foundation intern in my office!

Locking the Barn Before the Horse is Gone

We held our collective breath for this year's spring revenue forecast. Last year's guesses turned out to be a little... puffy. So we have an unfilled deficit in the current year.


This spring’s forecast deflated us. Oil prices are down and the markets expect the drop to continue.


That makes the tough choices ahead of us even harder. How might we cut an already-too-lean budget? We clearly need some new revenues, but those seldom come fast and neither is an easy lift. Few voters like the idea of reducing the PFD down to $600 or so.


It gets awfully tempting to take just a little extra out of the spendable part of the Permanent Fund. Just this once?


Thankfully my colleagues on the Senate Finance Committee are as unwilling as I am to start down that slope. Still, it's a reminder how easily the value of the Permanent Fund could be permanently diminished.


This week in Finance we considered a constitutional amendment to protect the fund's value permanently. It would stop splitting the fund into multiple accounts, and forbid the legislature from spending more than 5% of the value in a year.


We’re still debating a lot of pieces. A constitutional amendment is forever, after all. So is 5% a safe enough number that we don't deplete the fund? Would a lower cap provide enough money each year to run schools and fix ferries? Should we calculate the value of the fund using a five year average? A seven year average? Should we protect a dividend in the constitution too?


It’s a long road to get it right, and takes a 2/3 vote in both the House and Senate to put in front of the voters. To make sure future Alaskans have a permanent fund, it’s worth it.

The Prince William Sound Regional Citizens' Advisory Council helped advocate for Alaska's PFAS firefighting ban. They do even better work preventing and preparing for oil spills.

A Day Late and A Bunch of Dollars Short

We spend a lot more time on how to use the Permanent Fund than we do bird-dogging whether it's being managed carefully and responsibly to get the best returns on our investments.


The Alaska Permanent Fund Corporation does that tough job and they've built quite a good reputation. Outside investment managers help out some. Even better, APFC has built a great team of in-house investors over the years. They're Alaskans who do good work at a lower cost—from cash management to bonds to private equity.


We count on APFC leadership to bring maximum returns, make sure we don't take too much risk, and minimize operations cost. The staff does a really good job.


Recently, the Board of Trustees has developed a taste for risk, cost, and secrecy that frankly worries me. A couple of times now, they contemplated raising the risk profile of the fund. They’ve tried to keep information from the public—asking for exemptions from public records and open meetings rules. They’ve considered paying trustees a salary, and they're paying extra overhead on a second office the fund don’t need.


This summer, consultants and the staff talked the trustees out of crazy investment risk. They eventually decided not to ask for salaries. And the legislature does not seem likely to take away transparency rules for Alaskans' money. But what’s the deal with this second office?


The trustees decided they wanted an Anchorage office. It’s a weird call to split up the team. Even weirder, they opened the office outside the budget process without ever asking for funding. They sent staff to talk to a bunch of legislators—including me. Every single one told APFC either not to open a second office at all, or not to do it without getting the money appropriated. Retired legislators testified at their board meeting to say the same thing. They did it anyway.


Last year they presented the office as a fait accompli and asked to continue funding it. The legislature said no. Legislators didn't find benefits to justify the costs. The FY 25 budget gave them $100 to shut it down. The governor vetoed that money, leaving neither shutdown money nor funding for the Anchorage office. The trustees voted to keep it open anyway. It turns out there was enough wiggle room in the budget they could divert funds from other things APFC should be doing to pay for their disapproved pet project.


I chaired a meeting this week for the Department of Revenue budget subcommittee where we took a deep dive into APFC’s budget. We fund them with money from the Fund itself - over and above the sustainable 5% draw. The corporation built enough trust over the decades that the legislature has often allowed a loose structure where APFC can move money as needed and leave whatever’s left at the end of the year in the Fund.


Let's be clear: The staff at APFC are top flight and Alaska is fortunate to have them. But the current crop of trustees squandered the trust their predecessors built. Alaskans are not OK with a board that spends our money without checks or balances—running up the costs and asking for forgiveness instead of permission. The Permanent Fund is crucial to Alaska's fiscal future. I'll work on the budget to make sure it's nobody's petty cash drawer.

Speaking on the Senate floor Monday.

An Apple a Day Keeps the Doctor Paid

The turmoil in Washington, DC keeps me up some nights. It's making the Alaska Division of Insurance nervous, too. If the feds cut Medicaid funding, the state doesn’t have a way to fill the hole. A lot of Alaskans may lose their health care.


This week Senate Finance heard from the division about the risks for Alaskans with private insurance, too. Some federal proposals would radically increase the cost of health care for Alaskans who don’t get their insurance from their employer. 


When the Affordable Care Act passed, insurance companies didn’t want to provide insurance in Alaska. Too many people with expensive preexisting conditions meant premiums would be too high to make a profit. The Division of Insurance came up with a really cool fix. The state provides a “reinsurance” program to cover the five or six most expensive medical conditions. The insurance company covers everyone else, at a lower premium. The federal government saves a little money on subsidies for the Alaskans in the reinsurance program. They give the savings to the state to run the program. Win-win.


More than 20 states have copied us, but the program is in real danger. Congress and the federal administration are talking about ditching or reducing the Affordable Care Act subsidies and the waiver that lets Alaska do the reinsurance thing. That would remove about $140 million per year.


Losing the $140 million reinsurance system means insurance companies would raise premiums like we've never seen. The division estimates a family of four could end up paying an additional $2,000 per month for health insurance. In other words, working Alaskans who use the insurance exchanges today would just go uninsured.


As with all things happening in Congress right now, there’ s no guessing which way the wind will blow next. I'm biting my fingernails to see the final verdict. But at least I have insurance if I chew too far. Alaska doesn’t have an alternate plan for our neighbors who are at serious risk of going without.

The Alaska Coalition on Housing and Homelessness does great work! Brian Wilson and I had a good conversation on state support for housing.

Failure Is, It Turns Out, An Option

The state has a troubled history managing big computer projects. We need them for lots of reasons: computing usually makes us more efficient, we can’t rely on ancient machines or obsolete code anymore, and failing to update makes us more vulnerable to cyberattacks.


But when we take on big IT projects, it’s sometimes hard to know if anyone has their hands on the wheel.


Some state projects are going well. Others are baffling. The Division of Retirement and Benefits is well past half a decade into developing a new system they call BEARS. It meets all the good reasons for a big IT project: A lot of work is done manually today. Some pension math is very complicated. The costs of human error can be high. DRB has struggled with vacancies and needs more efficient systems. The legacy computer system runs in a DOS shell decades out of date.


BEARS is also the perfect example of an IT project gone upside down. We started funding BEARS in 2018. The first $30 million wasn't enough to get the job done. Last year we sunk another $9 million into it. The leadership has been inconsistent, and hasn't always had IT expertise. (That gets about the same results you'd expect if you put a changing cast of lawyers in charge of overseeing a bridge construction contract.) The implementation date gets pushed out again and again.


The good news is BEARS now has a project manager with some chops. The latest word is it might be ready this fall. So I'm hoping for early winter. The bad news is that now the contractor is poised to make out handsomely on its one-of-a-kind software. They've asked for $3 million per year to license and maintain it in the future. (The whole Division of Retirement and Benefits costs less than $22 million per year today.)


Cautionary tales like BEARS inspire me to ask a lot of questions when the state proposes an expensive new project. Take payroll: Alaska badly needs a modern payroll program so employees can enter hours electronically. Believe it or not, most state employees use paper timesheets we scan into PDFs. The Department of Administration wants $7 million to buy and customize new software. I'm asking them for a clear plan to 1) pick software that fits, 2) make sure it will function with our (many) Alaska-specific pay rules, and 3) get it to mesh with other state programs where we process things like hiring paperwork.


The state needs modern IT. But going back to paper and 10-keys might be the only thing more expensive than botching these computer upgrades.


Avoiding that takes capable project managers, strong plans that account for likely sources of delays, and an honest account of future annual costs for new tech. We have more intensive work to do with the Executive Branch on making sure we responsibly manage these important (and expensive) projects.

All my best,

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Events & Happenings Around District B

Juneau Play

Perseverance Theatre is putting on The Thanksgiving Play, a hilarious comedy directed by Frank Henry Kaash Katasse! Playing from February 28 - March 16.


Gustavus Birds

Head to the Gustavus Dock Picnic bench on March 29 for a bird walk!


Gustavus Movie

Swing by the Community Center on March 29 for a screening of Hunt for the Wilderpeople!


Gustavus Kids

Crafts and good fun for kids K-5 at the Community Center on March 26!


Skagway Gamers

Do you enjoy a night of D&D, MTG, or other geeky acronyms? Lumberchaun Axe Throwing is hosting the night for Saturdays throughout the winter.

Skagway Music

There are instruments waiting for you to play at the library every Saturday afternoon!


Haines AND Skagway Gameshow

Music and a gameshow? On March 21 in Haines and March 23 in Skagway, head to Parlor in the Round and have some fun with local musicians!


Haines Fundraiser

Raise money for the Haines Avalanche Center on March 20th and watch films made in the Chilkat Valley!


Haines Blood

That sounds ominous…but it’s just the opposite! Give a little (blood) for your community at the Haines school on March 29-30.


Is there an event in our district I should know about? Please call or email!

Want to Send Snail Mail?


Alaska State Capitol

Room 514

Juneau, AK 99801


You Can Call:


800 550 4947

907 465 4947


Or Email Me!


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Contact My Staff,

the people who power the work:


Aurora Hauke

907 465 5051

aurora.hauke@akleg.gov


Ella Adkison

907 465 6419

ella.adkison@akleg.gov


Cathy Schlingheyde

907 465 6827

cathy.schlingheyde@akleg.gov


Cole Osowski

907 465 4947

cole.osowski@akleg.gov